Best of MoreWrong

Rationality

The Evidence That I Am a Bad Person Is Not Statistically Significantunrejected_null My Girlfriend Asked Whether I Love Her. I Said 82%calibrated_boyfriend A Bayesian Analysis of Whether My Girlfriend Is Mad at Meexpected_value_bf An Epistemic Status: 80% That Your Baby Is Uglycalibrated_uncle Posterior Inference From Sparse Glances: Why She Is Definitely in Love With Mesparse_glances

Optimization

Why It May Be Game Theoretically Optimal to Do Heroinsingularity_enjoyer Excluding Training Costs, I Don’t Have a Gambling Problemadjusted_basis Game Theory Demands You Venmo Me $20credible_thirst On the Optimal Number of Beersdrinkmaxxer42 The Option Value of Not Taking Out the Trash Yetexpected_value_bf

Ethics

Against Hoarding Both of Your Kidneysorgan_optionality The Time Value of Money and Why My Grandmother Is Being Selfish With My Inheritanceduration_risk_grandson The Drowning Child Argument Never Accounted for My Loafersmarginal_coping A Marginal-Utility Case for Stealing My Grandmother’s Pain Pillsexpected_value_grandson Overdose Offsets: Why Every Bag of Fentanyl I Sell Is Net Life-Positiveoffset_plug

Relationships

Comparative Advantage and the Case for My Girlfriend Doing Laundryexpected_value_bf Would I Still Love You If You Were a Worm? Personal Identity Under Lossy Compressionneuro_option Going Through My Girlfriend’s Phone Is Basic Safety Practicetrusted_monitor_bf A Staged Rollout of My Divorcecanary_release Why I'm Putting My Girlfriend on a Performance Improvement Planneurons_at_risk

AI and Safety

The Opportunity Cost of Not Creating the AI That Kills Everyonemundane_abundance The Bitter Lesson and Why I Stopped Reading to My Sonscale_is_all_you_need I Had Sex With Claude 1,000 Times in 30 Days. My Biggest Mistake Was Not Starting Soonerfounder_mode Against Prematurely Erasing the Golem’s Foreheadcorrigible_clerk My Genetically Optimized Son Is Dumb as Shitwithin_family_variance

Economics

A Georgist Case for Parking in My Neighbor's Drivewayland_value_enjoyer My Tenants Would Want Me to Raise Their Rent if They Were Smarterextrapolated_landlord On Reallocating Child Support Toward Higher-Impact Intimacy Expenditureexpected_value_deadbeat Earning to Give and the Case for My Drinking Problemmosquito_maxxer Work Requirements for Trick-or-Treatersmeans_tested_porch

Sequences

Belief Under PressureEvidence, calibration, and belief revision under uncertainty.9 essays

Optimization in PracticeOptimization, revealed preference, and the allocation of scarce resources.10 essays

The Calculus of ObligationIdentity, welfare, and the limits of personal obligation.9 essays

Children as VariablesPrediction, incentives, and resource allocation in human development.8 essays

The Arithmetic of HarmMoral accounting, externalities, and the aggregation of welfare.8 essays

Machines, Minds, and ControlArtificial intelligence, alignment, agency, and the control of complex systems.8 essays