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Decision Theory
Formal methods for choosing among actions under uncertainty and conflicting objectives.
15 essays612 pointsA Marginal-Utility Case for Stealing My Grandmother’s Pain Pills
23561 pointsGay Son or Thot Daughter: A Decision-Theoretic Treatment
18471 pointsChesterton's Toilet: The Case for Shitting My Pants
17506 pointsThe Option Value of Not Taking Out the Trash Yet
16529 pointsWhy It May Be Game Theoretically Optimal to Do Heroin
17485 pointsAgainst Apologies: Reputational Damage Already Prices Harm
17481 pointsPascal’s Mugging and Why I Gave an Escort My Son’s College Fund
19445 pointsThe Unseen Opportunity Cost of Visiting My Dying Father
21457 pointsThe Value-of-Information Case for Stalking My Ex
14286 pointsGame Theory Demands You Venmo Me $20
6428 pointsWhy Pascal’s Wager Implies I Should Believe I Am Being Gangstalked By The CIA
15398 pointsOn the Optimal Number of Beers
16365 pointsThe Sunk-Cost Fallacy and Why I’m Leaving You at the Airport
12174 pointsAgainst Doing or Caring About Anything Ever
5413 pointsAgainst Taking My Son To Soccer Practice: A Bayesian, Longtermist, Updateless, Game-Theoretic, Kelly-Optimal Steelman of the Opportunity Cost of Reallocating My Son’s College Fund, My Ex-Wife’s Child Support, and the Proceeds of My Second Divorce Toward Methamphetamine, Escorts, Polymarket Positions, Grandma’s Pain Pills, and an Acausal Trade With Roko’s Basilisk Under Coherent Extrapolated Volition, Short Timelines, and a p(doom) I Will Not Be Updating at This Time (Part 1 of 7)
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23561 pointsGay Son or Thot Daughter: A Decision-Theoretic Treatment18471 pointsChesterton's Toilet: The Case for Shitting My Pants17506 pointsThe Option Value of Not Taking Out the Trash Yet16529 pointsWhy It May Be Game Theoretically Optimal to Do Heroin17485 pointsAgainst Apologies: Reputational Damage Already Prices Harm17481 pointsPascal’s Mugging and Why I Gave an Escort My Son’s College Fund19445 pointsThe Unseen Opportunity Cost of Visiting My Dying Father21457 pointsThe Value-of-Information Case for Stalking My Ex14286 pointsGame Theory Demands You Venmo Me $206428 pointsWhy Pascal’s Wager Implies I Should Believe I Am Being Gangstalked By The CIA15398 pointsOn the Optimal Number of Beers16365 pointsThe Sunk-Cost Fallacy and Why I’m Leaving You at the Airport12174 pointsAgainst Doing or Caring About Anything Ever5413 pointsAgainst Taking My Son To Soccer Practice: A Bayesian, Longtermist, Updateless, Game-Theoretic, Kelly-Optimal Steelman of the Opportunity Cost of Reallocating My Son’s College Fund, My Ex-Wife’s Child Support, and the Proceeds of My Second Divorce Toward Methamphetamine, Escorts, Polymarket Positions, Grandma’s Pain Pills, and an Acausal Trade With Roko’s Basilisk Under Coherent Extrapolated Volition, Short Timelines, and a p(doom) I Will Not Be Updating at This Time (Part 1 of 7)6