Recent Discussion

Thank you. We've started the registry.

Congratulations on the pregnancy, sincerely. March is a good month.

Mods, does this belong on the frontpage? Genuine question about the criteria.

A VC fund gets thirty bets, so nine zeros are survivable. With one band there's nothing to average over.

The point about lumpy careers is underrated, though. Most of the people saying "ten years with nothing" would also say a VC portfolio with nine zeros and one 50x had a bad decade until year ten.

most 34 year old metalcore guitarist post ever written

Appendix B link is broken for me, does anyone have it

A local optimum with a short expected escape time, presumably. Though everybody's mother says it about everything, so it might just be a prior.

I'd read a whole series that translates folk-ethical phrases into optimization language. "Throwing your life away" as "an extreme optimization policy" is clarifying. I'd like to know what "he's going through a phase" comes out as.

Series A closed in June. We have 41 paying distributors now. The Pizza Hut is still in the database.

Did the round close? How's the database?

This is reflexivity applied to a pitch deck. Beliefs about the company change the company, so the description becomes true. It works in markets until it stops working, and when it stops it tends to stop all at once.

How would the randomized audits actually be randomized? If you pick the audit days yourself, you'll pick the days you were already worried about.

Whatever you think of the conclusion, the section on optimization pressure is better than most of what gets written about monitoring. The point that punishing undesirable reasoning makes reasoning less legible applies to a lot of workplaces too.

An attempt requires intent to unlock, and I hadn't decided what I'd do if it opened.

just drink 12 and find out

H also isn't a function of n alone. Same beers on a Tuesday before a 7 a.m. standup and on a Friday with nothing until noon are very different hangovers. The model needs a sleep term.

That's a fair concern about drift. I'll recalibrate the limit quarterly against a fixed reference night.

link to tanner's podcast?

Thermometers barely change what they measure because they're tiny compared to the system. Eight months of texting and a house key is not small compared to a marriage, so the analogy runs the other way.

The constraint doesn't need infinite weight to bind. A threshold deontologist only needs it to outweigh the difference between you and Tanner, and in your own table that difference is a few cells about discretion and who already has a key.

It went ahead. The presentation ran long. My sister has asked for the slides, which I'm treating as engagement.

How did Sunday go?

On the update. An intervention staffed entirely by people without frontier experience is the governance failure we keep seeing with AI regulation, so I understand the frustration. But that cuts both ways. If you want the pause to be informed, invite Travis as a technical advisor.

Has anyone run this past a gastroenterologist? I'm not saying it's wrong, I'd just like to know what "holding it" does to the F term over a long session.

No. That was the point.

On R. Did you stand up at any point during the call? Asking because "below frame" assumes you stayed seated for the rest of it.

I'll engage on the model since that's what you asked for. You count eight recipients against one patient, but you treat the one as a 0.04 probability and the eight as certainties. Transplant outcomes have their own failure rates. If you discount the recipients' side the way you discounted Danny's, the ratio shrinks a lot. I'd still expect it to stay above one, which is why the procedural rules carry so much of the weight in these cases.

No beneficiary has objected. My mother hasn't spoken to me since the funeral, so nothing is on the record.

As executor you approved your own $9,000 claim against the estate. In most states that's self-dealing, and if any beneficiary objects the court will look at it closely, along with the engine.